Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 135.094821 154.103935 175.168462 200.299654 229.541793 262.582984 302.869952
2025-12-21 109.218381 134.169140 164.207840 203.263382 253.030611 314.765083 397.822123
2025-12-28 96.392694 124.880045 161.296152 211.734243 280.523586 372.130522 505.149239
2026-01-04 86.055949 116.304766 156.873802 216.019479 301.310682 421.801819 608.413997
2026-01-11 76.345756 106.862068 149.459453 214.300898 312.348368 458.078215 696.828799
2026-01-18 70.534107 101.926661 147.378298 219.374156 333.156131 510.547980 817.143264
2026-01-25 64.348148 95.603840 142.325647 218.974888 344.959003 549.971261 921.917192
2026-02-01 59.771384 91.124758 139.410294 221.280513 360.943799 597.713012 1047.875759
2026-02-08 54.448621 84.894042 133.017162 217.011565 365.093336 625.472956 1141.864549
2026-02-15 51.032091 81.341613 130.494749 218.790012 379.656877 673.106428 1280.568058
2026-02-22 48.095845 78.271223 128.407770 220.966642 394.992435 723.897172 1433.747819
2026-03-01 44.232663 73.281443 122.565354 215.732617 395.774846 746.800849 1532.885347
2026-03-08 40.831727 69.085950 118.220626 213.760254 404.545482 790.714026 1695.165710
2026-03-15 38.440812 66.477024 116.502864 216.690125 423.802975 860.052114 1932.215738
2026-03-22 37.122202 65.644429 117.896244 225.776229 456.954180 964.624560 2277.560251
2026-03-29 35.351904 63.785880 117.134773 230.380642 481.201397 1053.683767 2606.546584
2026-04-05 33.009306 60.613820 113.498818 228.533529 490.865353 1110.573466 2865.228991
2026-04-12 31.683421 59.273317 113.317896 233.986415 517.956293 1214.279747 3280.718197
2026-04-19 29.875492 56.811667 110.616755 233.557230 531.078329 1285.420140 3621.200893
2026-04-26 28.503477 55.101225 109.288249 236.035711 551.644784 1379.782287 4059.513853
2026-05-03 26.618150 52.175530 105.118774 231.446893 553.771984 1424.859359 4353.327434
2026-05-10 25.443060 50.631393 103.768867 233.358503 573.006737 1521.444675 4849.154431
2026-05-17 24.390076 49.255726 102.653716 235.698295 593.765731 1626.664127 5409.268771